Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.036424 0.042342 0.048917 0.056763 0.065876 0.076129 0.088546
2025-11-30 0.027499 0.035330 0.044929 0.057565 0.073779 0.093904 0.120824
2025-12-07 0.021704 0.030095 0.041183 0.056916 0.078700 0.107851 0.149931
2025-12-14 0.017548 0.025901 0.037638 0.055349 0.081452 0.118607 0.175703
2025-12-21 0.014525 0.022625 0.034624 0.053716 0.083413 0.127994 0.200307
2025-12-28 0.012849 0.020998 0.033652 0.054763 0.089220 0.143464 0.235809
2026-01-04 0.011345 0.019367 0.032370 0.055016 0.093634 0.157116 0.270054
2026-01-11 0.010089 0.017930 0.031153 0.055117 0.097669 0.170471 0.305374
2026-01-18 0.009155 0.016894 0.030435 0.055906 0.102878 0.186304 0.346901
2026-01-25 0.008462 0.016178 0.030159 0.057393 0.109442 0.205202 0.396297
2026-02-01 0.007428 0.014684 0.028268 0.055621 0.109682 0.212511 0.424797
2026-02-08 0.006721 0.013716 0.027228 0.055308 0.112620 0.225147 0.465121
2026-02-15 0.006056 0.012756 0.026110 0.054744 0.115087 0.237373 0.506732
2026-02-22 0.005633 0.012237 0.025802 0.055794 0.120997 0.257264 0.567028
2026-03-01 0.005106 0.011426 0.024791 0.055219 0.123380 0.270105 0.613902
2026-03-08 0.004565 0.010509 0.023436 0.053710 0.123505 0.278090 0.651023
2026-03-15 0.004084 0.009663 0.022128 0.052128 0.123241 0.285138 0.686884
2026-03-22 0.003845 0.009345 0.021961 0.053144 0.129095 0.306710 0.759768
2026-03-29 0.003577 0.008921 0.021496 0.053390 0.133140 0.324553 0.826016
2026-04-05 0.003325 0.008505 0.020998 0.053488 0.136828 0.341980 0.893571
2026-04-12 0.003135 0.008219 0.020780 0.054253 0.142285 0.364397 0.976921
2026-04-19 0.002997 0.008048 0.020824 0.055696 0.149667 0.392552 1.079176
2026-04-26 0.002712 0.007452 0.019717 0.053976 0.148491 0.398535 1.122526